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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.15+4.05vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.10+9.14vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.72+0.58vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.12+4.22vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.06+0.52vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.50+1.13vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.36+0.52vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.40-0.56vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.38-4.57vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.65-3.31vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88+0.89vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-3.68vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.75-3.36vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.76-1.85vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.10-3.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.05Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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11.14Roger Williams University1.100.0%1st Place
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3.58Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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8.22Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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5.52Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.13Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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7.52University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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7.44Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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4.43Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.69Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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11.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.880.0%1st Place
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8.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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9.64Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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12.15University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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11.27Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Reineke | 12.9% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Emily Gildea | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 17.2% | 15.9% |
| Ragna Agerup | 22.4% | 18.1% | 17.3% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Mooradian | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Audrey Giblin | 10.7% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Delaney Bamford | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Talia Toland | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 14.6% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Madeline Kaller | 1.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 19.1% | 25.9% |
| Greta Farrell | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 0.6% |
| Kelsey Slack | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 5.7% |
| Helen Field | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 19.2% | 28.5% |
| Lucie Ford | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 16.6% | 18.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.