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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.15+4.09vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.72+1.63vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.65+3.50vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.10+7.26vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.12+3.35vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.06-0.65vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.38-2.58vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.10+3.35vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-0.95vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.50-2.81vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.40-3.55vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.36-4.23vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.75-3.34vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.76-1.87vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.09Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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3.63Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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6.5Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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11.26Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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8.35Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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5.35Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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4.42Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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11.35Roger Williams University1.100.0%1st Place
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8.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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7.19Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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7.45Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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7.77University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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9.66Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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12.13University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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11.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Reineke | 13.3% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ragna Agerup | 22.7% | 19.6% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 7.8% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Lucie Ford | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 14.9% | 16.1% | 17.7% |
| Grace Mooradian | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Audrey Giblin | 9.5% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Christine Klingler | 16.2% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Gildea | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 18.6% | 18.4% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Talia Toland | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Kelsey Slack | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 5.5% |
| Helen Field | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 20.9% | 27.5% |
| Madeline Kaller | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 17.5% | 25.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.