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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.06+4.46vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.50+5.28vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.15+2.25vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.38+0.77vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+3.41vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.75+3.97vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.12+1.72vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.72-4.28vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.65-2.17vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.40-2.28vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.76+1.71vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.10-0.11vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.36-5.15vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.42-3.17vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.10-3.00vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88-3.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.46Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.28Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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5.25Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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4.77Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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9.97Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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8.72Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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3.72Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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6.83Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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7.72Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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12.71University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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11.89Roger Williams University1.100.0%1st Place
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7.85University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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10.83Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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12.0Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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12.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Giblin | 10.7% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Sophia Reineke | 12.6% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 13.6% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Greta Farrell | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Kelsey Slack | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 4.9% |
| Grace Mooradian | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Ragna Agerup | 21.8% | 17.2% | 16.7% | 13.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Talia Toland | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Helen Field | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 17.8% | 27.6% |
| Emily Gildea | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 16.8% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Sofia Kirkman | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 7.6% |
| Lucie Ford | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 17.1% | 16.0% |
| Madeline Kaller | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 16.6% | 23.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.