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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+1.01vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.12+0.13vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.13+1.54vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.79-0.27vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.69-1.16vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.30-0.27vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.69-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.4%1st Place
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2.13Harvard University3.120.4%1st Place
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4.54Bowdoin College1.130.1%1st Place
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3.73Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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3.84Salve Regina University1.690.1%1st Place
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6.73University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.300.0%1st Place
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5.02University of Rhode Island0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Haig | 40.2% | 32.0% | 17.3% | 8.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Eli Burnes | 35.3% | 33.0% | 20.1% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Emmett Ulian | 5.4% | 5.2% | 12.1% | 18.6% | 28.5% | 26.5% | 3.7% |
| Tyler Paige | 8.3% | 13.1% | 20.5% | 26.0% | 20.9% | 10.4% | 0.8% |
| Brian Baker | 7.5% | 11.7% | 19.8% | 25.7% | 21.6% | 12.6% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Gallagher | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 8.1% | 85.5% |
| Peter Gunn | 3.1% | 4.7% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 20.9% | 41.2% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.