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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.12+1.13vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.79+1.67vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.13+1.58vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.69-0.14vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-3.97vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.69-1.93vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.30-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.13Harvard University3.120.3%1st Place
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3.67Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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4.58Bowdoin College1.130.0%1st Place
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3.86Salve Regina University1.690.1%1st Place
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2.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.4%1st Place
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5.07University of Rhode Island0.690.0%1st Place
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6.66University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Burnes | 35.0% | 32.3% | 21.0% | 8.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Paige | 8.9% | 12.9% | 23.8% | 23.5% | 19.6% | 10.1% | 1.2% |
| Emmett Ulian | 4.9% | 6.1% | 11.4% | 17.8% | 28.5% | 25.8% | 5.5% |
| Brian Baker | 7.9% | 11.4% | 19.3% | 25.9% | 21.1% | 12.8% | 1.6% |
| Emily Haig | 39.8% | 31.5% | 17.8% | 8.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter Gunn | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 13.6% | 22.8% | 41.1% | 8.8% |
| Sarah Gallagher | 0.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 8.8% | 82.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.