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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.69+4.02vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+0.03vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.13+1.52vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.79-0.25vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.69-1.13vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.30-0.29vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.12-5.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.02University of Rhode Island0.690.0%1st Place
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2.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.4%1st Place
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4.52Bowdoin College1.130.0%1st Place
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3.75Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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3.87Salve Regina University1.690.1%1st Place
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6.71University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.300.0%1st Place
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2.08Harvard University3.120.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Gunn | 3.1% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 13.0% | 22.6% | 37.9% | 10.4% |
| Emily Haig | 38.9% | 32.7% | 18.1% | 7.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Emmett Ulian | 4.8% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 19.7% | 26.3% | 28.2% | 3.1% |
| Tyler Paige | 8.2% | 11.6% | 22.5% | 24.5% | 21.7% | 10.6% | 0.9% |
| Brian Baker | 7.4% | 10.4% | 20.8% | 26.2% | 20.9% | 13.1% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Gallagher | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 8.6% | 84.4% |
| Eli Burnes | 37.5% | 32.4% | 19.1% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.