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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.12+1.13vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+0.01vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.69+2.06vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.79-0.27vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.13-0.43vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.69-2.16vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.30-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.13Harvard University3.120.4%1st Place
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2.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.4%1st Place
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5.06University of Rhode Island0.690.0%1st Place
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3.73Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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4.57Bowdoin College1.130.0%1st Place
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3.84Salve Regina University1.690.1%1st Place
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6.66University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Burnes | 36.6% | 31.0% | 19.3% | 9.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Emily Haig | 38.8% | 34.4% | 17.5% | 6.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Peter Gunn | 3.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 13.3% | 21.5% | 40.7% | 9.8% |
| Tyler Paige | 8.6% | 12.1% | 21.3% | 25.6% | 21.0% | 10.5% | 0.9% |
| Emmett Ulian | 4.6% | 6.5% | 11.3% | 19.7% | 26.4% | 25.9% | 5.6% |
| Brian Baker | 7.8% | 10.3% | 22.9% | 23.1% | 22.2% | 12.4% | 1.3% |
| Sarah Gallagher | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 4.6% | 9.0% | 82.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.