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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.13+3.47vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.00vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.12-0.86vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.79-0.22vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.69+0.17vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.30+0.70vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.69-4.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.47Bowdoin College1.130.0%1st Place
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2.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.4%1st Place
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2.14Harvard University3.120.4%1st Place
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3.78Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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5.17University of Rhode Island0.690.0%1st Place
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6.7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.300.0%1st Place
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3.74Salve Regina University1.690.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmett Ulian | 4.7% | 7.4% | 13.3% | 19.2% | 26.2% | 24.4% | 4.8% |
| Emily Haig | 39.9% | 32.5% | 17.9% | 7.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Eli Burnes | 36.5% | 29.6% | 21.4% | 9.1% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Paige | 7.6% | 12.6% | 21.4% | 24.2% | 22.3% | 10.7% | 1.2% |
| Peter Gunn | 2.0% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 13.1% | 20.7% | 43.6% | 9.8% |
| Sarah Gallagher | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 10.2% | 82.9% |
| Brian Baker | 9.1% | 13.4% | 18.4% | 25.2% | 22.3% | 10.3% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.