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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Denison University-0.21+1.87vs Predicted
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2University of Toledo0.20+0.39vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame1.24-1.45vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-1.60+0.21vs Predicted
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5Miami University-1.75-0.56vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-3.05-0.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.87Denison University-0.210.1%1st Place
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2.39University of Toledo0.200.2%1st Place
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1.55University of Notre Dame1.240.6%1st Place
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4.21Ohio State University-1.600.0%1st Place
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4.44Miami University-1.750.0%1st Place
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5.53Ohio State University-3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 11.9% | 24.7% | 35.8% | 20.4% | 6.0% | 1.2% |
| Colin Mackay | 21.8% | 35.4% | 28.3% | 11.0% | 3.3% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Gallagher | 60.6% | 26.8% | 10.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jack Rodman | 2.7% | 6.7% | 13.7% | 31.3% | 34.7% | 10.9% |
| William Ervin | 2.4% | 5.0% | 9.9% | 28.4% | 37.3% | 17.0% |
| Noah Brush | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 7.2% | 18.1% | 70.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.