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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.24+0.56vs Predicted
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2University of Toledo0.20+0.41vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-1.60+1.19vs Predicted
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4Miami University-1.75+0.39vs Predicted
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5Denison University-0.21-2.10vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-3.05-0.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.56University of Notre Dame1.240.6%1st Place
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2.41University of Toledo0.200.2%1st Place
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4.19Ohio State University-1.600.0%1st Place
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4.39Miami University-1.750.0%1st Place
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2.9Denison University-0.210.1%1st Place
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5.54Ohio State University-3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gallagher | 59.8% | 27.2% | 10.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Colin Mackay | 21.7% | 34.5% | 28.6% | 11.8% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Jack Rodman | 3.5% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 31.5% | 33.5% | 11.9% |
| William Ervin | 1.8% | 6.0% | 11.3% | 26.6% | 40.4% | 13.9% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 12.5% | 23.0% | 35.8% | 20.2% | 7.5% | 1.0% |
| Noah Brush | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 7.7% | 15.0% | 72.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.