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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.63+4.02vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.18+4.29vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.93+4.09vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.55+1.28vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University3.06+1.85vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.37-0.21vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University3.26-0.86vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+1.01vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.10-2.35vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.77-2.22vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.61-5.80vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.41-3.06vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut0.66-1.25vs Predicted
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15Brandeis University-0.10-1.28vs Predicted
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16Bates College0.07-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.02Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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6.29Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.09University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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5.28Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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6.85Salve Regina University3.060.1%1st Place
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5.79Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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6.14Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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9.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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6.65Harvard University3.100.1%1st Place
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7.78Yale University2.770.0%1st Place
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5.2Roger Williams University3.610.1%1st Place
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8.94Bowdoin College2.410.0%1st Place
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12.75University of Connecticut0.660.0%1st Place
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13.72Brandeis University-0.100.0%1st Place
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13.5Bates College0.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Perkins | 13.4% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Renehan | 7.3% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| James Simmons | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Mullins | 12.7% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Eric Decesar | 7.5% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| William Hutchings | 10.3% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 10.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Charles Field | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 17.9% | 10.1% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Jason Michas | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Kurzrok | 4.7% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Pimentel | 13.3% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Fiske | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 14.4% | 17.7% | 9.6% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| James Fales | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 29.1% | 29.3% | 17.8% |
| Josh Basseches | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 15.0% | 30.3% | 43.0% |
| Nick Sneath | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 4.9% | 17.8% | 29.9% | 37.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.