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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Toledo-0.26+1.07vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University-1.62+1.23vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame0.37-1.45vs Predicted
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4Miami University-2.54+0.21vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-3.73+0.33vs Predicted
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6Denison University-2.97-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.07University of Toledo-0.260.3%1st Place
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3.23Ohio State University-1.620.1%1st Place
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1.55University of Notre Dame0.370.6%1st Place
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4.21Miami University-2.540.0%1st Place
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5.33Ohio State University-3.730.0%1st Place
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4.62Denison University-2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Pribe | 29.1% | 43.1% | 20.7% | 5.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Adam Sturgeon | 7.2% | 16.6% | 37.9% | 25.3% | 10.7% | 2.3% |
| Leah Peluchiwski | 58.8% | 29.7% | 9.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Bates | 2.6% | 5.4% | 16.1% | 32.7% | 31.1% | 12.1% |
| Garrett Hall | 0.8% | 1.5% | 4.8% | 11.1% | 19.9% | 61.9% |
| Sarah MacKenzie | 1.5% | 3.7% | 10.7% | 23.6% | 36.9% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.