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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.48+2.14vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.10+1.78vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.43+0.24vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.79+0.36vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-1.19vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College1.08-0.55vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.77-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.14Tufts University2.480.2%1st Place
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3.78Boston University2.100.1%1st Place
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3.24Bowdoin College2.430.2%1st Place
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4.36Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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3.81Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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5.45Middlebury College1.080.1%1st Place
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4.21University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julien Guiot | 23.4% | 21.0% | 17.1% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 5.3% |
| Anna Weis | 13.7% | 15.9% | 15.5% | 18.1% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 7.9% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 20.3% | 20.0% | 17.6% | 16.8% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 4.5% |
| Zachary Bresnick | 10.7% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 16.5% | 19.2% | 16.0% |
| Alexander Bowen | 13.6% | 15.2% | 17.9% | 14.9% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 9.3% |
| Ben Arquit | 5.6% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 17.5% | 44.0% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 12.7% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 17.8% | 19.5% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.