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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.48+2.11vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.77+2.33vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.43+0.28vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.10-0.18vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.79-0.64vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-2.20vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College1.08-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11Tufts University2.480.2%1st Place
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4.33University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
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3.28Bowdoin College2.430.2%1st Place
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3.82Boston University2.100.1%1st Place
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4.36Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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3.8Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.2%1st Place
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5.3Middlebury College1.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julien Guiot | 24.0% | 20.1% | 18.1% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 7.7% | 4.5% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 9.8% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 17.7% | 18.0% | 15.4% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 19.9% | 19.8% | 17.7% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 7.8% | 4.7% |
| Anna Weis | 14.7% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 17.4% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 9.1% |
| Zachary Bresnick | 9.5% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 19.3% | 15.9% |
| Alexander Bowen | 15.4% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 18.5% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 8.7% |
| Ben Arquit | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 18.0% | 41.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.