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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.36+5.26vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.78+6.23vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.14+1.04vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire1.74+4.58vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.31+0.45vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.30-0.32vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.47-1.95vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.21-2.24vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.10-2.56vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.21-4.27vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University0.64+0.16vs Predicted
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13Harvard University0.27+0.18vs Predicted
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14Wentworth Institute of Technology0.30-0.90vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut0.19-1.51vs Predicted
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16Sacred Heart University0.00-2.19vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45-4.28vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-10.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.26Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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8.23University of Rhode Island1.780.0%1st Place
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4.04Tufts University3.140.2%1st Place
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8.58University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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6.45Northeastern University2.310.1%1st Place
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6.68Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.05Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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6.76Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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7.44Boston University2.100.1%1st Place
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6.73Bowdoin College2.210.1%1st Place
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12.16Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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13.18Harvard University0.270.0%1st Place
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13.1Wentworth Institute of Technology0.300.0%1st Place
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13.49University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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13.81Sacred Heart University0.000.0%1st Place
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12.72University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.0%1st Place
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7.32Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Shakin | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Pearson | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Jackson McCoy | 20.6% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Amaral | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Kyle Riggs | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Foster | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Anna Weis | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Catherine Price | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lillian Vincens | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 9.4% |
| Benjamin Zheng | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 12.4% | 16.1% | 18.0% | 15.2% |
| Joshua Mandelbaum | 1.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 15.7% | 15.7% |
| George Williams | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 18.0% | 19.9% |
| Andrew Dill | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 16.8% | 26.5% |
| Noah Brayer | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 12.1% |
| Alexander Bowen | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.