Race 4B

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
James Simmons 7.7% 6.2% 8.7% 6.2% 6.0% 8.0% 8.9% 9.4% 9.2% 8.9% 9.1% 7.0% 3.0% 1.5% 0.2%
William Hutchings 9.6% 12.0% 9.5% 9.8% 10.0% 8.6% 8.4% 8.2% 7.8% 7.0% 5.5% 2.5% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 8.9% 9.6% 10.1% 8.6% 7.4% 9.7% 9.4% 8.7% 8.8% 7.5% 5.7% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Sarah Fiske 3.4% 4.4% 3.4% 5.0% 5.9% 6.1% 6.1% 6.8% 7.7% 11.5% 11.8% 16.8% 7.2% 3.4% 0.5%
Ryan Mullins 11.1% 13.8% 8.8% 9.6% 10.0% 9.9% 9.2% 8.1% 6.5% 5.1% 4.5% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Daniel Perkins 13.0% 10.4% 12.3% 12.5% 10.5% 10.2% 7.6% 8.0% 5.3% 4.8% 3.7% 1.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Cameron Pimentel 14.6% 11.4% 11.6% 10.8% 11.6% 8.1% 6.9% 7.2% 6.7% 6.1% 2.3% 1.9% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Jason Michas 8.1% 6.9% 9.2% 7.7% 7.7% 8.6% 8.8% 8.1% 8.6% 8.5% 9.0% 6.2% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Andrew Kurzrok 5.1% 5.7% 5.7% 6.7% 7.4% 6.7% 8.2% 8.6% 9.8% 10.4% 10.9% 9.3% 4.4% 0.9% 0.2%
John Renehan 7.1% 9.0% 7.7% 8.8% 8.6% 8.3% 9.7% 9.6% 8.2% 8.3% 6.3% 5.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Eric Decesar 7.8% 7.5% 8.5% 7.6% 8.7% 7.0% 8.0% 8.4% 9.6% 7.4% 8.8% 6.4% 3.2% 1.0% 0.1%
Charles Field 2.9% 2.2% 2.9% 4.5% 4.2% 6.7% 5.4% 6.1% 6.9% 9.4% 14.1% 19.4% 12.2% 2.7% 0.4%
James Fales 0.3% 0.2% 0.6% 1.2% 1.3% 1.2% 1.6% 1.5% 2.0% 2.4% 4.2% 7.3% 30.0% 28.5% 17.7%
Josh Basseches 0.3% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% 0.9% 0.3% 1.0% 1.5% 1.5% 5.7% 13.7% 30.2% 43.1%
Nick Sneath 0.1% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.4% 0.9% 1.0% 1.9% 1.2% 2.6% 4.0% 17.8% 30.2% 37.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.