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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.90+2.28vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.94+3.77vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.47+4.29vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.58+0.19vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.15+3.20vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut0.19+5.52vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.79-0.72vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.70-1.53vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.27-0.93vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.39-2.58vs Predicted
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11Harvard University-0.34+1.81vs Predicted
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12Sacred Heart University-0.43+1.05vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.27-1.84vs Predicted
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14Wentworth Institute of Technology0.01-2.07vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.79-8.72vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University-0.42-3.98vs Predicted
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18University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.31-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28Boston College2.900.3%1st Place
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5.77University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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7.29Tufts University1.470.1%1st Place
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4.19Roger Williams University2.580.2%1st Place
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8.2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.150.0%1st Place
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11.52University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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6.28Boston University1.790.1%1st Place
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6.47Brown University1.700.1%1st Place
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8.07Bowdoin College1.270.0%1st Place
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7.42Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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12.81Harvard University-0.340.0%1st Place
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13.05Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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11.16University of New Hampshire0.270.0%1st Place
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11.93Wentworth Institute of Technology0.010.0%1st Place
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6.28Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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13.02Fairfield University-0.420.0%1st Place
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16.27University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Lynn | 25.8% | 18.9% | 16.1% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schryver | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Klein | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 17.5% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Braden Foster | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Elson | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 1.1% |
| Allison Cahn | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Sharpe | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Gonzalez | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Killian | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Juan Crestanello | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 16.1% | 21.3% | 5.5% |
| David Tampellini | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 19.5% | 21.3% | 5.6% |
| River Iannaccone | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 2.6% |
| Gordon Lameyer | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 2.3% |
| Zachary Bresnick | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Carlucci | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 19.7% | 6.6% |
| Kaler Diemer | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 76.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.