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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.47+6.04vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.58+2.04vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.90+0.42vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.79+2.41vs Predicted
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5Sacred Heart University-0.43+7.93vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.79+0.38vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.70-0.42vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.39-0.56vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.27-0.96vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.94-4.19vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.15-2.57vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire0.27-0.95vs Predicted
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14Wentworth Institute of Technology0.01-2.06vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University-0.42-1.95vs Predicted
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16Harvard University-0.34-3.24vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut0.19-5.59vs Predicted
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18University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.31-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.04Tufts University1.470.1%1st Place
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4.04Roger Williams University2.580.2%1st Place
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3.42Boston College2.900.2%1st Place
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6.41Boston University1.790.1%1st Place
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12.93Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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6.38Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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6.58Brown University1.700.1%1st Place
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7.44Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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8.04Bowdoin College1.270.0%1st Place
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5.81University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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8.43Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.150.0%1st Place
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11.05University of New Hampshire0.270.0%1st Place
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11.94Wentworth Institute of Technology0.010.0%1st Place
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13.05Fairfield University-0.420.0%1st Place
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12.76Harvard University-0.340.0%1st Place
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11.41University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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16.27University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Klein | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 17.9% | 16.5% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Lynn | 23.0% | 20.2% | 16.7% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Allison Cahn | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Tampellini | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 16.7% | 19.5% | 7.4% |
| Zachary Bresnick | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Sharpe | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emily Gonzalez | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Schryver | 8.1% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Braden Foster | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| River Iannaccone | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 10.9% | 6.1% | 1.4% |
| Gordon Lameyer | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 10.5% | 3.8% |
| Ryan Carlucci | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 18.5% | 21.5% | 6.2% |
| Juan Crestanello | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 21.4% | 5.1% |
| Danielle Elson | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 1.6% |
| Kaler Diemer | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 10.8% | 74.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.