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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.35+1.76vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland0.87+1.57vs Predicted
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3William and Mary1.06+0.20vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.06+0.85vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.06-0.15vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.82-2.53vs Predicted
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7Washington College0.23-2.50vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-1.62-0.78vs Predicted
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10Penn State University-2.19-2.15vs Predicted
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11American University-1.93-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.76Christopher Newport University1.350.3%1st Place
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3.57University of Maryland0.870.1%1st Place
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3.2William and Mary1.060.2%1st Place
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4.85Virginia Tech-0.060.1%1st Place
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4.85Virginia Tech-0.060.1%1st Place
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3.47Christopher Newport University0.820.2%1st Place
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4.5Washington College0.230.1%1st Place
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7.22Rutgers University-1.620.0%1st Place
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7.85Penn State University-2.190.0%1st Place
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7.57American University-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anna Patterson | 28.3% | 21.8% | 18.6% | 15.9% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bobbitt | 14.5% | 17.5% | 18.5% | 17.5% | 16.6% | 10.1% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Miguel Monllor | 20.5% | 19.3% | 17.9% | 18.3% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 25.0% | 15.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 25.0% | 15.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian O'Connell | 17.3% | 20.1% | 16.1% | 14.0% | 16.4% | 10.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Vernon | 8.5% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 19.7% | 20.3% | 11.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Robert Jarrett | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 8.9% | 28.2% | 31.7% | 20.0% | 0.0% |
| Erica Stone | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 14.9% | 26.5% | 45.5% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Anderson | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 19.7% | 32.4% | 32.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.