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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.35+1.74vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland0.87+1.61vs Predicted
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3Washington College0.23+1.53vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.82-0.57vs Predicted
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5American University-1.93+2.53vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.06-1.05vs Predicted
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7William and Mary1.06-3.87vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-2.19-0.13vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech-0.06-4.05vs Predicted
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10Rutgers University-1.62-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.74Christopher Newport University1.350.3%1st Place
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3.61University of Maryland0.870.1%1st Place
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4.53Washington College0.230.1%1st Place
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3.43Christopher Newport University0.820.2%1st Place
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7.53American University-1.930.0%1st Place
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4.95Virginia Tech-0.060.1%1st Place
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3.13William and Mary1.060.2%1st Place
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7.87Penn State University-2.190.0%1st Place
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4.95Virginia Tech-0.060.1%1st Place
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7.21Rutgers University-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anna Patterson | 28.3% | 23.1% | 18.1% | 15.2% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bobbitt | 14.6% | 16.2% | 19.4% | 17.1% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 5.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Vernon | 8.4% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 18.9% | 20.0% | 13.0% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian O'Connell | 17.6% | 17.5% | 17.8% | 17.7% | 14.7% | 10.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Anderson | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 19.4% | 31.4% | 31.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 17.5% | 24.2% | 17.3% | 4.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Miguel Monllor | 20.7% | 21.2% | 19.0% | 16.1% | 12.7% | 7.5% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erica Stone | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 14.0% | 27.1% | 45.8% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 17.5% | 24.2% | 17.3% | 4.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Robert Jarrett | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 24.5% | 32.3% | 21.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.