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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College0.23+3.52vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland0.87+1.62vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.06+1.99vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.35-1.35vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.06-0.01vs Predicted
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6American University-1.93+1.50vs Predicted
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7William and Mary1.06-3.92vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-2.19-0.08vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University0.82-5.48vs Predicted
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11Rutgers University-1.62-3.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.52Washington College0.230.1%1st Place
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3.62University of Maryland0.870.1%1st Place
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4.99Virginia Tech-0.060.1%1st Place
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2.65Christopher Newport University1.350.3%1st Place
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4.99Virginia Tech-0.060.1%1st Place
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7.5American University-1.930.0%1st Place
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3.08William and Mary1.060.2%1st Place
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7.92Penn State University-2.190.0%1st Place
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3.52Christopher Newport University0.820.2%1st Place
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7.2Rutgers University-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Vernon | 9.0% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 19.5% | 19.4% | 12.5% | 3.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bobbitt | 14.4% | 16.1% | 18.2% | 18.5% | 15.9% | 11.8% | 4.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 17.0% | 24.5% | 16.5% | 5.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 30.2% | 22.7% | 19.8% | 13.3% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 17.0% | 24.5% | 16.5% | 5.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Anderson | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 21.4% | 29.4% | 31.2% | 0.0% |
| Miguel Monllor | 20.3% | 22.7% | 18.3% | 17.8% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erica Stone | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 14.1% | 27.6% | 46.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian O'Connell | 16.6% | 18.8% | 15.7% | 16.5% | 15.9% | 11.1% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Jarrett | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 9.2% | 23.9% | 32.4% | 21.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.