Race 5A

colony-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Anna Patterson 32.7% 24.7% 18.2% 13.0% 7.7% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian O'Connell 16.3% 20.5% 19.2% 17.0% 16.0% 8.3% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Bobbitt 21.1% 18.4% 18.5% 18.4% 13.6% 8.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Daniel Strebel 8.4% 11.0% 11.2% 16.3% 18.5% 23.2% 9.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Andrew Vernon 10.6% 14.2% 16.4% 15.9% 17.5% 17.2% 6.0% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathan Gibson 8.1% 8.6% 12.0% 14.2% 19.1% 24.0% 12.1% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Nathan Gibson 8.1% 8.6% 12.0% 14.2% 19.1% 24.0% 12.1% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Stephen Anderson 1.4% 1.4% 2.3% 2.6% 3.3% 8.7% 36.8% 36.9% 6.6% 0.0%
Erica Stone 1.2% 1.0% 1.8% 2.1% 4.0% 6.2% 27.3% 44.9% 11.5% 0.0%
Mona Patel 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 1.0% 3.8% 12.1% 81.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.