Race 6A

colony-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Anna Patterson 32.7% 24.7% 18.8% 12.1% 7.8% 3.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Bobbitt 17.1% 21.2% 19.1% 17.6% 14.1% 8.5% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian O'Connell 19.8% 18.7% 17.7% 17.7% 15.1% 9.2% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Vernon 11.8% 13.3% 13.7% 16.4% 18.6% 18.7% 6.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Nathan Gibson 7.2% 10.7% 14.5% 15.2% 17.3% 21.6% 10.0% 3.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Daniel Strebel 8.7% 8.9% 12.1% 14.6% 19.9% 22.8% 11.2% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Nathan Gibson 7.2% 10.7% 14.5% 15.2% 17.3% 21.6% 10.0% 3.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Stephen Anderson 1.4% 1.2% 2.3% 3.2% 2.8% 9.1% 36.3% 37.1% 6.6% 0.0%
Erica Stone 1.1% 1.1% 1.5% 2.7% 3.9% 5.5% 28.1% 44.5% 11.6% 0.0%
Mona Patel 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 1.2% 3.7% 12.1% 81.3% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.