Race 7A

colony-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Andrew Vernon 10.1% 12.4% 12.4% 18.0% 18.7% 15.5% 10.4% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Nathan Gibson 5.7% 7.4% 13.8% 12.5% 17.6% 22.3% 14.2% 5.1% 1.4% 0.0%
Andrew Bobbitt 18.3% 20.3% 18.8% 19.8% 11.5% 8.0% 2.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian O'Connell 18.9% 20.9% 19.3% 16.8% 12.9% 8.5% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Anna Patterson 35.3% 25.0% 15.5% 11.9% 7.9% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Daniel Strebel 7.4% 9.9% 13.0% 13.6% 19.8% 19.7% 11.9% 4.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Nathan Gibson 5.7% 7.4% 13.8% 12.5% 17.6% 22.3% 14.2% 5.1% 1.4% 0.0%
Erica Stone 0.8% 1.0% 1.6% 2.4% 2.4% 5.2% 14.0% 26.3% 46.3% 0.0%
Stephen Anderson 1.5% 1.4% 2.2% 2.2% 4.1% 7.5% 19.1% 29.9% 32.1% 0.0%
Robert Jarrett 2.0% 1.7% 3.4% 2.8% 5.1% 10.0% 24.5% 31.2% 19.3% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.