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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College0.60+1.60vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.24+1.26vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.75+1.75vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.47-1.30vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.47-2.30vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-2.06+0.72vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University-0.39-2.95vs Predicted
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9William and Mary-1.64-2.81vs Predicted
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10Rutgers University-2.38-2.74vs Predicted
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11American University-2.51-3.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6Washington College0.600.3%1st Place
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3.26Christopher Newport University0.240.2%1st Place
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4.75University of Maryland-0.750.1%1st Place
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2.7Virginia Tech0.470.3%1st Place
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2.7Virginia Tech0.470.3%1st Place
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6.72Penn State University-2.060.0%1st Place
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4.05Christopher Newport University-0.390.1%1st Place
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6.19William and Mary-1.640.0%1st Place
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7.26Rutgers University-2.380.0%1st Place
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7.47American University-2.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Proud | 29.6% | 25.1% | 19.5% | 12.9% | 8.4% | 3.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Douglass | 18.0% | 20.4% | 19.2% | 18.0% | 13.4% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Dorsey | 6.3% | 8.1% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 19.5% | 18.6% | 13.2% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 27.4% | 24.3% | 19.8% | 14.4% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 27.4% | 24.3% | 19.8% | 14.4% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Stude | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 20.6% | 22.2% | 19.8% | 0.0% |
| Mikaela Farrugia | 10.5% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 18.9% | 19.8% | 13.4% | 7.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Austin Cook | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 12.4% | 19.6% | 22.2% | 19.4% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Principe | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 10.4% | 16.8% | 26.6% | 30.9% | 0.0% |
| Isabel Hasselbalch | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 24.4% | 38.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.