← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Virginia Tech0.47+1.76vs Predicted
-
2University of Maryland-0.75+2.89vs Predicted
-
3Washington College0.60-0.39vs Predicted
-
4Christopher Newport University-0.39-0.02vs Predicted
-
5Virginia Tech0.47-2.24vs Predicted
-
6Christopher Newport University0.24-2.94vs Predicted
-
8Rutgers University-2.38-0.74vs Predicted
-
9Penn State University-2.06-2.16vs Predicted
-
10William and Mary-1.64-3.87vs Predicted
-
11American University-2.51-3.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.76Virginia Tech0.470.2%1st Place
-
4.89University of Maryland-0.750.1%1st Place
-
2.61Washington College0.600.3%1st Place
-
3.98Christopher Newport University-0.390.1%1st Place
-
2.76Virginia Tech0.470.2%1st Place
-
3.06Christopher Newport University0.240.2%1st Place
-
7.26Rutgers University-2.380.0%1st Place
-
6.84Penn State University-2.060.0%1st Place
-
6.13William and Mary-1.640.0%1st Place
-
7.46American University-2.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Shanabrook | 24.5% | 24.7% | 20.8% | 16.1% | 9.0% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Dorsey | 5.1% | 5.7% | 11.7% | 18.1% | 20.3% | 19.0% | 13.1% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Henry Proud | 29.0% | 25.0% | 19.3% | 13.4% | 9.4% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mikaela Farrugia | 11.1% | 12.7% | 17.0% | 17.9% | 20.9% | 11.7% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 24.5% | 24.7% | 20.8% | 16.1% | 9.0% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Douglass | 21.4% | 22.6% | 19.2% | 15.6% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Principe | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 10.7% | 17.5% | 25.3% | 30.9% | 0.0% |
| David Stude | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 8.0% | 13.8% | 22.6% | 25.1% | 19.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Cook | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 21.2% | 21.0% | 17.2% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| Isabel Hasselbalch | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 9.4% | 16.5% | 24.1% | 37.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.