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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College0.60+1.81vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.47+1.09vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-1.64+3.36vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.41-1.01vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-0.75-0.24vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech0.47-2.91vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.24-3.71vs Predicted
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9Penn State University-2.06-2.11vs Predicted
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10American University-2.51-2.52vs Predicted
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11Rutgers University-2.38-3.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81Washington College0.600.3%1st Place
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3.09Virginia Tech0.470.2%1st Place
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6.36William and Mary-1.640.0%1st Place
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2.99Christopher Newport University0.410.2%1st Place
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4.76University of Maryland-0.750.1%1st Place
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3.09Virginia Tech0.470.2%1st Place
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3.29Christopher Newport University0.240.2%1st Place
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6.89Penn State University-2.060.0%1st Place
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7.48American University-2.510.0%1st Place
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7.33Rutgers University-2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Proud | 26.0% | 23.7% | 19.1% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 20.7% | 20.4% | 19.5% | 18.9% | 12.3% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Austin Cook | 2.5% | 2.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 21.3% | 24.9% | 19.1% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Conner | 22.7% | 21.3% | 18.6% | 17.7% | 13.1% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Dorsey | 6.2% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 20.0% | 19.6% | 11.0% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 20.7% | 20.4% | 19.5% | 18.9% | 12.3% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Douglass | 17.1% | 19.0% | 19.0% | 19.4% | 16.6% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Stude | 2.0% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 7.7% | 15.5% | 22.4% | 25.4% | 18.7% | 0.0% |
| Isabel Hasselbalch | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 9.4% | 17.9% | 23.3% | 37.3% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Principe | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 11.9% | 17.6% | 25.2% | 32.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.