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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.93+6.07vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.61+3.00vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University3.26+3.07vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.18+2.41vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.37+0.94vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University3.06+0.78vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.77+0.62vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.63-2.93vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.55-3.70vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-0.89vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.10-4.30vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.41-4.05vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut0.66-1.24vs Predicted
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15Brandeis University-0.10-1.28vs Predicted
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16Bates College0.07-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.07University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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5.0Roger Williams University3.610.1%1st Place
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6.07Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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6.41Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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5.94Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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6.78Salve Regina University3.060.1%1st Place
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7.62Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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5.07Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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5.3Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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9.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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6.7Harvard University3.100.1%1st Place
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8.95Bowdoin College2.410.0%1st Place
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12.76University of Connecticut0.660.0%1st Place
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13.72Brandeis University-0.100.0%1st Place
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13.5Bates College0.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Simmons | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Pimentel | 12.9% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Renehan | 8.1% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| William Hutchings | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eric Decesar | 6.0% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Kurzrok | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Daniel Perkins | 14.0% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Mullins | 11.3% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Field | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 17.1% | 9.9% | 5.1% | 0.5% |
| Jason Michas | 7.5% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Fiske | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 19.6% | 9.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| James Fales | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 8.7% | 28.8% | 28.5% | 18.0% |
| Josh Basseches | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 14.3% | 30.0% | 43.0% |
| Nick Sneath | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 18.4% | 29.5% | 37.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.