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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College0.60+1.77vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.47+1.10vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.75+1.89vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.41-1.00vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.24-1.75vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech0.47-3.90vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-1.64-1.78vs Predicted
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9American University-2.51-1.42vs Predicted
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10Penn State University-2.06-3.12vs Predicted
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11Rutgers University-2.38-3.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77Washington College0.600.3%1st Place
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3.1Virginia Tech0.470.2%1st Place
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4.89University of Maryland-0.750.1%1st Place
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3.0Christopher Newport University0.410.2%1st Place
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3.25Christopher Newport University0.240.2%1st Place
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3.1Virginia Tech0.470.2%1st Place
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6.22William and Mary-1.640.0%1st Place
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7.58American University-2.510.0%1st Place
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6.88Penn State University-2.060.0%1st Place
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7.32Rutgers University-2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Proud | 27.1% | 21.4% | 20.5% | 15.9% | 9.8% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 18.9% | 22.1% | 20.4% | 18.1% | 12.8% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Dorsey | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 14.9% | 22.0% | 23.3% | 11.8% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Conner | 22.3% | 19.7% | 21.4% | 18.0% | 12.0% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Douglass | 19.6% | 19.6% | 18.8% | 16.6% | 14.0% | 7.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 18.9% | 22.1% | 20.4% | 18.1% | 12.8% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Cook | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 12.3% | 19.9% | 25.3% | 16.9% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabel Hasselbalch | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 9.6% | 14.4% | 26.6% | 38.2% | 0.0% |
| David Stude | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 14.6% | 23.5% | 22.8% | 20.5% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Principe | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 10.7% | 18.0% | 26.8% | 30.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.