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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.47+1.58vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-0.75+2.40vs Predicted
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3Washington College0.60-0.56vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.24-1.05vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.47-2.42vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.58-1.85vs Predicted
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7American University-2.51-0.27vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-2.06-1.78vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-2.38-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58Virginia Tech0.470.3%1st Place
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4.4University of Maryland-0.750.1%1st Place
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2.44Washington College0.600.3%1st Place
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2.95Christopher Newport University0.240.2%1st Place
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2.58Virginia Tech0.470.3%1st Place
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4.15William and Mary-0.580.1%1st Place
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6.73American University-2.510.0%1st Place
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6.22Penn State University-2.060.0%1st Place
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6.53Rutgers University-2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Shanabrook | 28.1% | 25.6% | 21.1% | 14.7% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Dorsey | 7.6% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 18.3% | 25.4% | 17.3% | 9.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Henry Proud | 31.3% | 25.3% | 21.6% | 14.6% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Douglass | 21.0% | 22.5% | 19.6% | 20.1% | 12.5% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 28.1% | 25.6% | 21.1% | 14.7% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Wisdom | 7.7% | 10.7% | 15.9% | 20.0% | 23.8% | 15.4% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Isabel Hasselbalch | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 7.5% | 16.3% | 25.7% | 41.4% | 0.0% |
| David Stude | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 10.4% | 22.7% | 28.8% | 24.1% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Principe | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 8.1% | 20.6% | 29.3% | 31.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.