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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College0.60+1.44vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-0.75+2.42vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.24-0.04vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.47-1.36vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University-2.38+1.60vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech0.47-4.36vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-0.58-3.93vs Predicted
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9American University-2.51-2.24vs Predicted
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10Penn State University-2.06-3.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44Washington College0.600.3%1st Place
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4.42University of Maryland-0.750.1%1st Place
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2.96Christopher Newport University0.240.2%1st Place
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2.64Virginia Tech0.470.3%1st Place
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6.6Rutgers University-2.380.0%1st Place
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2.64Virginia Tech0.470.3%1st Place
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4.07William and Mary-0.580.1%1st Place
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6.76American University-2.510.0%1st Place
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6.12Penn State University-2.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Proud | 31.4% | 25.4% | 21.7% | 13.6% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Dorsey | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 20.8% | 23.5% | 18.3% | 9.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Douglass | 20.5% | 21.8% | 22.7% | 18.4% | 11.0% | 4.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 25.6% | 27.1% | 20.3% | 15.3% | 8.8% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Principe | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 8.1% | 17.9% | 31.2% | 33.3% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 25.6% | 27.1% | 20.3% | 15.3% | 8.8% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Wisdom | 9.8% | 9.5% | 17.4% | 19.0% | 23.8% | 13.9% | 5.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Isabel Hasselbalch | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 15.4% | 23.9% | 44.3% | 0.0% |
| David Stude | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 12.2% | 25.4% | 29.0% | 19.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.