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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College0.60+1.42vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.24+0.98vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.47-0.39vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.58+0.12vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-0.75-0.59vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech0.47-3.39vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-2.38-1.42vs Predicted
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9American University-2.51-2.25vs Predicted
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10Penn State University-2.06-3.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.42Washington College0.600.3%1st Place
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2.98Christopher Newport University0.240.2%1st Place
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2.61Virginia Tech0.470.3%1st Place
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4.12William and Mary-0.580.1%1st Place
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4.41University of Maryland-0.750.1%1st Place
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2.61Virginia Tech0.470.3%1st Place
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6.58Rutgers University-2.380.0%1st Place
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6.75American University-2.510.0%1st Place
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6.13Penn State University-2.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Proud | 32.8% | 25.9% | 19.7% | 12.8% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Douglass | 21.0% | 20.6% | 21.8% | 19.2% | 12.1% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 26.5% | 25.2% | 22.3% | 16.3% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Wisdom | 8.1% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 19.9% | 25.4% | 14.2% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Dorsey | 6.7% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 20.4% | 21.6% | 19.8% | 7.3% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 26.5% | 25.2% | 22.3% | 16.3% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Principe | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 8.5% | 18.4% | 29.8% | 33.7% | 0.0% |
| Isabel Hasselbalch | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 7.5% | 13.4% | 26.6% | 43.0% | 0.0% |
| David Stude | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 12.2% | 25.1% | 29.2% | 19.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.