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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.73+7.03vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.75+5.92vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.60+5.80vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.53+4.93vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.77+2.85vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.48+3.20vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.21+3.67vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.88+3.68vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.49+4.51vs Predicted
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10Yale University4.24-4.05vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.82+1.21vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.07+3.38vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.09-1.70vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.24-3.83vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.70-2.35vs Predicted
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163.77-8.12vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College3.56-8.40vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-7.45vs Predicted
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19Northeastern University2.60-6.01vs Predicted
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20Northwestern University1.95-4.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.03Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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7.92College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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8.8Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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8.93Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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7.85Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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9.2Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.67Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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11.68U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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13.51George Washington University2.490.0%1st Place
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5.95Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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12.21Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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15.38University of South Florida2.070.0%1st Place
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11.3University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
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10.17Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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12.65University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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7.883.770.1%1st Place
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8.6Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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10.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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12.99Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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15.75Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Sinks | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Augie Dale | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nick Sertl | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Maxwell Brill | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 9.9% |
| Nicholas Baird | 12.4% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% |
| Scott Ewing | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 15.8% | 24.3% |
| Dakota Northrup | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.2% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 6.4% |
| Ty Ingram | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Mack Fox | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.1% |
| Mark Davies | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 27.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.