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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.60+7.51vs Predicted
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23.77+5.80vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.88+8.69vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.53+4.77vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.95+10.49vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.73+1.87vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.24-1.07vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.60+5.00vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.82+2.66vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.70+2.32vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-0.72vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.21-1.44vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.77-5.54vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.09-3.22vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.48-6.11vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College3.56-7.50vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.24-7.04vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston3.75-10.30vs Predicted
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19George Washington University2.49-6.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.51Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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7.83.770.1%1st Place
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11.69U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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8.77Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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15.49Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
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7.87Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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5.93Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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13.0Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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11.66Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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12.32University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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10.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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10.56Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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7.46Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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10.78University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
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8.89Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.5Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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9.96Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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7.7College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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12.83George Washington University2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Sertl | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% |
| Ty Ingram | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Maxwell Brill | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% |
| Christopher Williford | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Mark Davies | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 15.4% | 35.5% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Baird | 12.4% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 12.4% |
| Jack Bitney | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 8.4% |
| Mack Fox | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Dakota Northrup | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Augie Dale | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 11.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.