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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.97+7.99vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.81+7.87vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.71+3.13vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+3.30vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.75+5.13vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.50+5.40vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.76+3.45vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.35-0.73vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.79+0.83vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70+0.44vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.58-0.04vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.92-2.46vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.32-0.48vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.76-3.95vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.19-6.80vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.05-7.29vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.16-4.30vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.42-2.19vs Predicted
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19University of Vermont2.05-5.74vs Predicted
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20Northwestern University1.24-3.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.99Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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9.87Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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6.13Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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7.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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10.13Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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11.4Tufts University2.500.0%1st Place
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10.45University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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7.27Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.83Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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10.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
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10.96College of Charleston2.580.1%1st Place
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9.54Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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12.52George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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10.05U. S. Naval Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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8.2Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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8.71Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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12.7University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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15.81Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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13.26University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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16.44Northwestern University1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Gearon | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Carter Pemberton | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Martim Anderson | 11.9% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Long | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Chris Keller | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% |
| Brendan Read | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Wade Waddell | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sam Alexander | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Shane Riera | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Dirk Johnson | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| William Hawk | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Wade Wagner | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 5.7% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Duncan Williford | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Preston Senior | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% |
| Chris Colbeth | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 11.4% | 16.0% | 27.6% |
| Colin Richards | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 8.4% |
| Noah Rosenthal | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 16.7% | 35.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.