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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.93+4.27vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.38+10.05vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.71+7.62vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.78+6.20vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.69+5.56vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.23+2.18vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.40+5.27vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.14+0.32vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.97+0.18vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.47+1.71vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.92-1.39vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-3.11vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-2.43vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.31-1.58vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.25-6.91vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.93-6.59vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University1.89-2.88vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.51-6.42vs Predicted
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19University of Vermont2.23-6.28vs Predicted
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20Northwestern University1.93-5.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.27Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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12.05Harvard University2.380.0%1st Place
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10.62Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
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10.2George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
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10.56Brown University2.690.0%1st Place
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8.18College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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12.27University of South Florida2.400.0%1st Place
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8.32Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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9.18Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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11.71Boston College2.470.0%1st Place
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9.61Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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8.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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10.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.0%1st Place
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12.42Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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8.09U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
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9.41University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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14.12Roger Williams University1.890.0%1st Place
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11.58Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
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12.72University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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14.22Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 15.9% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Farrell | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% |
| Walter Florio | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% |
| Sam White | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% |
| Franco Bilik | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Steven Leuck | 5.8% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Michael Sanandajian | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% |
| Jackson McCoy | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% |
| Christian Filter | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% |
| Max Clapp | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Stephen Duncan | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% |
| Kyle Riggs | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% |
| Connor Bayless | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Ed Lebens | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 18.1% |
| Alex Moreno | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% |
| Cameron Nash | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.9% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.