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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.47+10.30vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.93+3.20vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.71+7.28vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.25+3.74vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.23+3.04vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.38+5.45vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.97+2.07vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.14+0.47vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.78+0.63vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.51+0.97vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.92-1.79vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-1.80vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.69-2.95vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.93-4.69vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.31-3.27vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.89-2.34vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-8.66vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.23-5.79vs Predicted
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19Northwestern University1.93-5.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.3Boston College2.470.0%1st Place
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5.2Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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10.28Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
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7.74U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
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8.04College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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11.45Harvard University2.380.0%1st Place
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9.07Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.47Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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9.63George Washington University2.780.1%1st Place
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10.97Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
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9.21Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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10.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.0%1st Place
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10.05Brown University2.690.0%1st Place
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9.31University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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11.73Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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13.66Roger Williams University1.890.0%1st Place
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8.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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12.21University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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13.14Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Rasmussen | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% |
| Shawn Harvey | 16.2% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Walter Florio | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% |
| Connor Bayless | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Steven Leuck | 5.8% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Dylan Farrell | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% |
| Christian Filter | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Jackson McCoy | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Sam White | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% |
| Alex Moreno | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 4.5% |
| Max Clapp | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Stephen Duncan | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% |
| Franco Bilik | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.7% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Kyle Riggs | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.7% |
| Ed Lebens | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 13.6% | 19.7% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Cameron Nash | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.9% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 16.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.