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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.06+8.58vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+6.12vs Predicted
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3George Washington University3.41+5.11vs Predicted
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4Hampton University3.02+5.72vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.80+5.71vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+4.10vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.88+7.97vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.15+0.94vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.76+1.92vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.96+0.08vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.63-3.81vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.39+0.84vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.13-3.32vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.68-2.70vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-9.55vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.58-0.38vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia0.98+0.32vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College3.25-9.20vs Predicted
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19Harvard University3.12-9.75vs Predicted
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20Fordham University2.71-8.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.58Georgetown University3.060.0%1st Place
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8.12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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8.11George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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9.72Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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10.71University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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10.1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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14.97Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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8.94Stanford University3.150.1%1st Place
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10.92College of Charleston2.760.0%1st Place
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10.08Dartmouth College2.960.0%1st Place
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7.19U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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12.84Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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9.68Yale University3.130.0%1st Place
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11.3Roger Williams University2.680.0%1st Place
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5.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.2%1st Place
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15.62University of Wisconsin1.580.0%1st Place
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17.32University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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8.8SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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9.25Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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11.29Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roger Dorr | 4.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Charles Lomax | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Edmund Cooper | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 16.3% | 14.9% |
| William Marshall | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Nicolas Muller | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Jack McGraw | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Gary Prieto | 10.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 5.4% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Preston Duclos | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 1.6% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 15.2% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Janssen | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 19.8% | 22.0% |
| Katarina Catallo | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 17.1% | 44.9% |
| Zachary Hill | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Matt Cappetta | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.