← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+4.37vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy3.63+5.05vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University3.06+6.82vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+4.18vs Predicted
-
5Yale University3.13+4.23vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University3.41+2.13vs Predicted
-
7University of Pennsylvania2.80+4.12vs Predicted
-
8College of Charleston2.76+2.73vs Predicted
-
9Stanford University3.15+0.07vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University2.39+2.63vs Predicted
-
11Jacksonville University1.88+3.69vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-1.70vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University3.12-3.26vs Predicted
-
14Dartmouth College2.96-4.01vs Predicted
-
15University of Virginia0.98+2.22vs Predicted
-
16SUNY Maritime College3.25-7.25vs Predicted
-
17Hampton University3.02-7.43vs Predicted
-
18Fordham University2.71-6.76vs Predicted
-
19Roger Williams University2.68-7.66vs Predicted
-
20University of Wisconsin1.58-4.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
-
7.05U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
-
9.82Georgetown University3.060.1%1st Place
-
8.18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
-
9.23Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
-
8.13George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
-
11.12University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
-
10.73College of Charleston2.760.0%1st Place
-
9.07Stanford University3.150.1%1st Place
-
12.63Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
-
14.69Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
-
10.3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
-
9.74Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
-
9.99Dartmouth College2.960.0%1st Place
-
17.22University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
-
8.75SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
-
9.57Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
-
11.24Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
-
11.34Roger Williams University2.680.0%1st Place
-
15.82University of Wisconsin1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greiner Hobbs | 14.7% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 10.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Roger Dorr | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Nicolas Muller | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| William Marshall | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 4.6% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 17.1% | 14.1% |
| Edmund Cooper | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Jack McGraw | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Katarina Catallo | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 15.6% | 47.7% |
| Zachary Hill | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Matt Cappetta | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Preston Duclos | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Noah Janssen | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 20.3% | 22.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.