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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.63+6.08vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+3.34vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.15+6.28vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+6.07vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.06+4.56vs Predicted
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6Hampton University3.02+3.85vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.39+5.92vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College3.25+0.47vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-0.96vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.80+0.82vs Predicted
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11George Washington University3.41-2.88vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.71-0.54vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.68-1.30vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University1.88+0.65vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.13-5.69vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.12-6.71vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston2.76-6.24vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College2.96-7.87vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin1.58-3.34vs Predicted
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20University of Virginia0.98-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.08U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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5.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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9.28Stanford University3.150.1%1st Place
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10.07St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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9.56Georgetown University3.060.0%1st Place
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9.85Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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12.92Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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8.47SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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8.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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10.82University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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8.12George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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11.46Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
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11.7Roger Williams University2.680.0%1st Place
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14.65Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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9.31Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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9.29Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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10.76College of Charleston2.760.0%1st Place
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10.13Dartmouth College2.960.0%1st Place
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15.66University of Wisconsin1.580.0%1st Place
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17.5University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Prieto | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 14.4% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Marshall | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Edmund Cooper | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Roger Dorr | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 4.1% |
| Zachary Hill | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Kai Friesecke | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 2.0% |
| Preston Duclos | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 13.8% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Nicolas Muller | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Jack McGraw | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Noah Janssen | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 21.1% | 21.1% |
| Katarina Catallo | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 8.7% | 16.6% | 48.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.