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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University3.41+7.03vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.13+7.27vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.80+7.84vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+1.41vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.71+6.08vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+2.19vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.88+7.94vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.39+4.43vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.96+0.95vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.06-0.35vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.15-1.78vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College3.25-3.04vs Predicted
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13Hampton University3.02-2.83vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-3.96vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.12-5.64vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy3.63-8.92vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.68-5.84vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston2.76-6.94vs Predicted
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19University of Virginia0.98-1.63vs Predicted
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20University of Wisconsin1.58-4.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.03George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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9.27Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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10.84University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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5.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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11.08Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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14.94Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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12.43Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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9.95Dartmouth College2.960.0%1st Place
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9.65Georgetown University3.060.0%1st Place
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9.22Stanford University3.150.1%1st Place
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8.96SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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10.17Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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10.04St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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9.36Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.08U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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11.16Roger Williams University2.680.0%1st Place
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11.06College of Charleston2.760.0%1st Place
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17.37University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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15.79University of Wisconsin1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kai Friesecke | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 14.1% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Matt Cappetta | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 1.2% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 17.8% | 13.2% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 4.6% |
| Jack McGraw | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Roger Dorr | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| William Marshall | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Zachary Hill | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Edmund Cooper | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Gary Prieto | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Preston Duclos | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Nicolas Muller | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| Katarina Catallo | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 16.7% | 47.4% |
| Noah Janssen | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 13.0% | 19.7% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.