← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.15+8.15vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.13+7.28vs Predicted
-
3University of Pennsylvania2.80+7.92vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+1.38vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College2.96+5.01vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University3.12+3.45vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+3.37vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-0.04vs Predicted
-
9Georgetown University3.06+0.52vs Predicted
-
10Fordham University2.71+1.28vs Predicted
-
11Jacksonville University1.88+3.73vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Naval Academy3.63-4.68vs Predicted
-
13George Washington University3.41-4.61vs Predicted
-
14Roger Williams University2.68-2.64vs Predicted
-
15College of Charleston2.85-4.43vs Predicted
-
16SUNY Maritime College3.25-7.31vs Predicted
-
17Tufts University2.39-4.50vs Predicted
-
18University of Wisconsin1.58-2.18vs Predicted
-
19University of Virginia0.98-1.62vs Predicted
-
20Hampton University3.02-10.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.15Stanford University3.150.0%1st Place
-
9.28Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
-
10.92University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
-
5.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
-
10.01Dartmouth College2.960.0%1st Place
-
9.45Harvard University3.120.0%1st Place
-
10.37St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
-
7.96U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
-
9.52Georgetown University3.060.0%1st Place
-
11.28Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
-
14.73Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
-
7.32U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
-
8.39George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
-
11.36Roger Williams University2.680.0%1st Place
-
10.57College of Charleston2.850.1%1st Place
-
8.69SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
-
12.5Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
-
15.82University of Wisconsin1.580.0%1st Place
-
17.38University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
-
9.9Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Marshall | 4.9% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 14.5% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack McGraw | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Eli Burnes | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Edmund Cooper | 4.4% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Roger Dorr | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Matt Cappetta | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 13.5% | 18.6% | 12.4% |
| Gary Prieto | 9.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Preston Duclos | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Carter Cameron | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Zachary Hill | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 3.6% |
| Noah Janssen | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 19.7% | 23.3% |
| Katarina Catallo | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 17.2% | 46.7% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.