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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.96+8.97vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.88+12.70vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.76+8.02vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.15+5.16vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.13+4.23vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.06+3.77vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.12+2.57vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia0.98+9.34vs Predicted
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9George Washington University3.41-1.10vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-4.68vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.63-3.87vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College3.25-3.08vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.68-1.25vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.80-3.22vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-6.80vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-5.94vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.39-4.55vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.71-6.79vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin1.58-3.39vs Predicted
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20Hampton University3.02-10.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.97Dartmouth College2.960.0%1st Place
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14.7Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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11.02College of Charleston2.760.0%1st Place
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9.16Stanford University3.150.1%1st Place
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9.23Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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9.77Georgetown University3.060.1%1st Place
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9.57Harvard University3.120.0%1st Place
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17.34University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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7.9George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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5.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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7.13U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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8.92SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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11.75Roger Williams University2.680.0%1st Place
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10.78University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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8.2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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10.06St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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12.45Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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11.21Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
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15.61University of Wisconsin1.580.0%1st Place
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9.91Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack McGraw | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 16.3% | 14.3% |
| Nicolas Muller | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| William Marshall | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Roger Dorr | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Eli Burnes | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Katarina Catallo | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 15.9% | 46.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 14.0% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hill | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Preston Duclos | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 1.7% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Charles Lomax | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Edmund Cooper | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 4.3% |
| Matt Cappetta | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Noah Janssen | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 18.4% | 23.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.