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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+4.37vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.39+10.65vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+5.27vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.13+5.28vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+5.01vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.15+3.25vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.63+0.35vs Predicted
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8George Washington University3.41-0.17vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.76+1.83vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.71+1.21vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.88+3.73vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.96-1.70vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.12-3.27vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia0.98+3.41vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.80-4.24vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University3.06-6.39vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College3.25-8.48vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.68-6.64vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin1.58-3.37vs Predicted
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20Hampton University3.02-10.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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12.65Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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8.27U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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9.28Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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10.01St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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9.25Stanford University3.150.0%1st Place
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7.35U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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7.83George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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10.83College of Charleston2.760.0%1st Place
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11.21Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
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14.73Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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10.3Dartmouth College2.960.0%1st Place
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9.73Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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17.41University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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10.76University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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9.61Georgetown University3.060.1%1st Place
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8.52SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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11.36Roger Williams University2.680.0%1st Place
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15.63University of Wisconsin1.580.0%1st Place
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9.88Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greiner Hobbs | 14.9% | 14.8% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 4.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Edmund Cooper | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| William Marshall | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Gary Prieto | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kai Friesecke | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Nicolas Muller | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Matt Cappetta | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 2.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 12.6% | 17.6% | 14.6% |
| Jack McGraw | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Katarina Catallo | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 15.0% | 47.2% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Roger Dorr | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Zachary Hill | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Preston Duclos | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 1.5% |
| Noah Janssen | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 20.5% | 21.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.