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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.13+8.40vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.06+7.74vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.96+7.29vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+4.29vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.39+7.66vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.12+3.51vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+3.48vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.76+2.85vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University1.88+5.74vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.15-0.69vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.25-2.05vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-6.37vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.63-5.49vs Predicted
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14George Washington University3.41-5.95vs Predicted
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15Fordham University3.16-5.70vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.58-0.33vs Predicted
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17Hampton University3.02-7.33vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.68-6.43vs Predicted
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19University of Pennsylvania2.80-8.18vs Predicted
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20University of Virginia0.98-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.4Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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9.74Georgetown University3.060.1%1st Place
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10.29Dartmouth College2.960.0%1st Place
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8.29U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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12.66Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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9.51Harvard University3.120.0%1st Place
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10.48St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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10.85College of Charleston2.760.0%1st Place
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14.74Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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9.31Stanford University3.150.1%1st Place
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8.95SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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5.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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7.51U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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8.05George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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9.3Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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15.67University of Wisconsin1.580.0%1st Place
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9.67Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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11.57Roger Williams University2.680.0%1st Place
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10.82University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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17.56University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Hernandez | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Roger Dorr | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Jack McGraw | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Charles Lomax | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 4.3% |
| Eli Burnes | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Edmund Cooper | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Nicolas Muller | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 1.5% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 17.3% | 12.6% |
| William Marshall | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Hill | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 13.6% | 13.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Noah Janssen | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 19.8% | 22.8% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Preston Duclos | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 2.5% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Katarina Catallo | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 9.1% | 15.7% | 49.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.