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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University3.02+8.84vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.12+7.41vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.39+9.77vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+6.14vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.13+4.32vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.76+5.22vs Predicted
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7George Washington University3.41+1.41vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.06+1.52vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-3.63vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-1.79vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.63-3.69vs Predicted
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12Fordham University3.16-2.47vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.80-1.72vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University1.88+0.69vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.96-4.83vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia0.98+1.32vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.68-5.67vs Predicted
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18Stanford University3.15-8.63vs Predicted
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19SUNY Maritime College3.25-10.19vs Predicted
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20University of Wisconsin1.58-4.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.84Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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9.41Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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12.77Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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10.14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
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9.32Yale University3.130.0%1st Place
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11.22College of Charleston2.760.0%1st Place
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8.41George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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9.52Georgetown University3.060.0%1st Place
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5.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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8.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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7.31U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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9.53Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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11.28University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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14.69Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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10.17Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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17.32University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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11.33Roger Williams University2.680.0%1st Place
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9.37Stanford University3.150.0%1st Place
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8.81SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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15.97University of Wisconsin1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Kuester | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 5.2% |
| Edmund Cooper | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Nicolas Muller | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Roger Dorr | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 12.9% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Gary Prieto | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Roberto Stevens | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 16.2% | 13.1% |
| Jack McGraw | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Katarina Catallo | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 8.2% | 17.3% | 46.1% |
| Preston Duclos | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| William Marshall | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Zachary Hill | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Noah Janssen | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 21.3% | 22.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.