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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.39+11.63vs Predicted
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2Hampton University3.02+7.83vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.63+4.32vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.12+5.41vs Predicted
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5George Washington University3.41+3.07vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.76+5.19vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.68+4.75vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+0.04vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-3.64vs Predicted
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10Fordham University3.16-0.73vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-0.72vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.13-2.36vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.15-3.36vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.58+1.76vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College3.25-6.12vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia0.98+1.38vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University1.88-2.29vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College2.96-7.83vs Predicted
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19Georgetown University3.06-9.32vs Predicted
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20University of Pennsylvania2.80-9.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.63Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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9.83Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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7.32U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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9.41Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.07George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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11.19College of Charleston2.760.0%1st Place
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11.75Roger Williams University2.680.0%1st Place
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8.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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5.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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9.27Fordham University3.160.0%1st Place
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10.28St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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9.64Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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9.64Stanford University3.150.1%1st Place
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15.76University of Wisconsin1.580.0%1st Place
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8.88SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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17.38University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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14.71Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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10.17Dartmouth College2.960.0%1st Place
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9.68Georgetown University3.060.1%1st Place
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11.0University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 4.2% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Gary Prieto | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nicolas Muller | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Preston Duclos | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 1.8% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 14.3% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% |
| Edmund Cooper | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| William Marshall | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Noah Janssen | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 21.4% | 20.8% |
| Zachary Hill | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Katarina Catallo | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 8.3% | 14.6% | 49.8% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 17.3% | 12.6% |
| Jack McGraw | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Roger Dorr | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.