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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.06+8.67vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+3.43vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.12+6.59vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.16+5.32vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.15+4.24vs Predicted
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6Hampton University3.02+3.99vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.13+2.70vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College3.25+0.60vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-0.82vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.80+0.94vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.88+3.75vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.96-1.58vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.68-1.19vs Predicted
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14George Washington University3.41-5.94vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.63-7.78vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston2.76-4.94vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-7.01vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.39-5.23vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin1.58-3.27vs Predicted
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20University of Virginia0.98-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.67Georgetown University3.060.0%1st Place
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5.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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9.59Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.32Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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9.24Stanford University3.150.1%1st Place
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9.99Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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9.7Yale University3.130.0%1st Place
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8.6SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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8.18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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10.94University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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14.75Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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10.42Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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11.81Roger Williams University2.680.0%1st Place
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8.06George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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7.22U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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11.06College of Charleston2.760.0%1st Place
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9.99St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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12.77Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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15.73University of Wisconsin1.580.0%1st Place
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17.54University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roger Dorr | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 14.1% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Roberto Stevens | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| William Marshall | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Zachary Hill | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 13.6% | 18.7% | 12.6% |
| Jack McGraw | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Preston Duclos | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nicolas Muller | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Edmund Cooper | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 5.5% |
| Noah Janssen | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 12.0% | 20.9% | 21.1% |
| Katarina Catallo | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 9.3% | 17.2% | 47.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.