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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.15+8.28vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.63+5.20vs Predicted
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3Hampton University3.02+7.04vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.13+5.35vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+0.44vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.12+3.55vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+1.49vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+1.98vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.39+3.63vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.76+1.14vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.25-2.10vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.80-0.90vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University1.88+2.08vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University3.06-4.34vs Predicted
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15Fordham University3.16-5.76vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.96-5.91vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia0.98+0.38vs Predicted
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18George Washington University3.41-9.79vs Predicted
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19Roger Williams University2.68-7.67vs Predicted
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20University of Wisconsin1.58-4.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.28Stanford University3.150.1%1st Place
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7.2U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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10.04Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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9.35Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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5.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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9.55Harvard University3.120.0%1st Place
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8.49U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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9.98St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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12.63Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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11.14College of Charleston2.760.0%1st Place
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8.9SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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11.1University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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15.08Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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9.66Georgetown University3.060.0%1st Place
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9.24Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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10.09Dartmouth College2.960.0%1st Place
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17.38University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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8.21George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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11.33Roger Williams University2.680.0%1st Place
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15.9University of Wisconsin1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Marshall | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Gary Prieto | 10.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 13.1% | 13.8% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eli Burnes | 4.0% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Edmund Cooper | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 4.4% |
| Nicolas Muller | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Zachary Hill | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 17.4% | 15.7% |
| Roger Dorr | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Roberto Stevens | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Jack McGraw | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Katarina Catallo | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 19.3% | 45.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Preston Duclos | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 1.4% |
| Noah Janssen | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 20.2% | 23.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.