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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University3.02+8.74vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+8.14vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+2.56vs Predicted
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4George Washington University3.41+4.07vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.76+5.99vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.39+6.83vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.25+2.19vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.06+1.55vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-0.86vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.15-0.69vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.13-1.48vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.63-4.63vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.12-3.15vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia0.98+3.48vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.96-4.87vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.80-5.11vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.68-5.74vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University1.88-3.16vs Predicted
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19Fordham University3.16-9.80vs Predicted
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20University of Wisconsin1.58-4.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.74Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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10.14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
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5.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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8.07George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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10.99College of Charleston2.760.0%1st Place
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12.83Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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9.19SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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9.55Georgetown University3.060.0%1st Place
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8.14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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9.31Stanford University3.150.1%1st Place
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9.52Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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7.37U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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9.85Harvard University3.120.0%1st Place
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17.48University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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10.13Dartmouth College2.960.0%1st Place
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10.89University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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11.26Roger Williams University2.680.0%1st Place
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14.84Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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9.2Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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15.93University of Wisconsin1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Kuester | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Edmund Cooper | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 12.7% | 14.9% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Nicolas Muller | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 4.9% |
| Zachary Hill | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Roger Dorr | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| William Marshall | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Gary Prieto | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Eli Burnes | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Katarina Catallo | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 15.8% | 47.7% |
| Jack McGraw | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 1.7% |
| Preston Duclos | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 2.0% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 13.5% |
| Roberto Stevens | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Noah Janssen | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 12.0% | 20.9% | 23.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.